Nikopol vs Illichivets II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nikopol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ENK
4 - 1
NIK
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NIK
2 - 2
RPH
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
TIF
1 - 0
NIK
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
NIK
2 - 1
ABT
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
IHP
3 - 0
NIK
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Illichivets II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
ILL
4 - 1
MZZ
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 1
ILL
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
ILL
4 - 0
SMY
45%
24%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ENK
3 - 0
ILL
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ILL
3 - 1
RPH
18%
26%
57%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +3 |