Niki Volos vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
11º
3º
49
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
86.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niki Volos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
NIK
1 - 2
ANA
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
NIK
5 - 0
APO
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MKN
0 - 0
NIK
28%
30%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
NIK
3 - 1
MYT
64%
23%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 0
NIK
42%
29%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 0
LEV
30%
29%
42%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
PTF
1 - 2
LAR
30%
28%
43%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 0
MAK
62%
24%
14%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 0
ANA
72%
20%
8%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MKN
0 - 0
LAR
13%
24%
63%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |