Nikarm vs Ararat II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
61.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nikarm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
MIK
3 - 0
NIK
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
NIK
0 - 3
ONO
17%
18%
65%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
PYU
4 - 1
NIK
87%
8%
5%
|
11 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
NIK
1 - 6
ARA
18%
20%
63%
|
12 | 54 | 42 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
NIK
1 - 3
BAN
18%
20%
63%
|
12 | 55 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ONO
2 - 1
ARA
26%
23%
51%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
4 - 1
PYU
59%
19%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 4
ARA
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 2
AND
76%
14%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BKM
6 - 0
ARA
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |