Nikarm vs Ararat II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nikarm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
NIK
0 - 8
GAN
17%
22%
62%
|
13 | 69 | 56 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PYU
7 - 2
NIK
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
NIK
1 - 3
BAN
11%
18%
71%
|
13 | 51 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
LER
6 - 0
NIK
78%
15%
8%
|
13 | 56 | 43 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ARA
11 - 0
NIK
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 1
ARA
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 3
SYU
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
AND
0 - 3
ARA
14%
19%
67%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 6
ARA
25%
24%
52%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ARA
11 - 0
NIK
87%
9%
4%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | +1 |