Nigeria U23 vs Japan U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
NED
0 - 0
NGA
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
CHI
4 - 1
NGA
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -6 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
ITA
1 - 1
NGA
49%
24%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
AUS
2 - 3
NGA
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
NGA
3 - 3
HND
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Japan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
JPN
0 - 1
USA
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
JPN
1 - 2
PRK
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 16 | 44 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
SYR
0 - 1
JPN
28%
23%
48%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2006 |
JPN
3 - 2
PAK
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 0
GHA
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |