Nigeria U20 vs Senegal U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
GHA
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 2
CIV
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
NGA
4 - 1
CGO
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SEN
1 - 3
NGA
15%
21%
64%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 2
URU
23%
23%
54%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
MLI
1 - 2
SEN
51%
23%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SEN
4 - 3
CGO
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CIV
2 - 2
SEN
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SEN
1 - 3
NGA
15%
21%
64%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SEN
0 - 1
BEN
69%
18%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |