Nigeria U20 vs Germany U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
NGA
1 - 1
CRC
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1989 |
POR
2 - 0
NGA
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
NGA
2 - 1
USA
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
SUN
4 - 4
NGA
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
NGA
1 - 1
CSK
45%
27%
29%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
GER
4 - 0
PAR
52%
24%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1999 |
ESP
2 - 1
GER
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1995 |
AUS
1 - 1
GER
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1995 |
CRC
2 - 1
GER
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1995 |
CMR
1 - 1
GER
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |