Niger vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
41.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
CMR
1 - 2
NIG
73%
19%
8%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
3 - 3
NIG
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ETH
3 - 0
NIG
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
NIG
1 - 0
ETH
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
NIG
1 - 0
SLE
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
0 - 2
UGA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
SSD
1 - 0
UGA
7%
14%
79%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
UGA
1 - 0
SSD
74%
18%
8%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
UGA
2 - 0
MWI
60%
25%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
BFA
0 - 0
UGA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |