Niger vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
LBY
6 - 2
NIG
69%
18%
12%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
BEN
2 - 0
NIG
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
NIG
0 - 2
BEN
40%
26%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
NIG
1 - 2
ANG
17%
23%
60%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
UGA
1 - 0
NIG
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2008 |
ANG
0 - 0
UGA
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
UGA
3 - 1
ANG
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
BEN
4 - 1
UGA
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
UGA
1 - 0
NIG
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
UGA
1 - 1
LBY
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |