Niger vs Somalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
NIG
0 - 2
UGA
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
TAN
1 - 0
NIG
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
NIG
0 - 1
ALG
12%
25%
63%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
ALG
2 - 1
NIG
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
NIG
0 - 1
MAD
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TAN
2 - 1
SOM
83%
13%
4%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 1
TAN
9%
20%
71%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SWZ
2 - 1
SOM
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 3
SWZ
10%
18%
72%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
OMA
2 - 1
SOM
81%
14%
4%
|
33 | 78 | 45 | 0 |