Niger vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CPV
3 - 1
NIG
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
ZAM
3 - 0
NIG
66%
22%
12%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NIG
0 - 0
ZAM
20%
24%
57%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
MOZ
1 - 1
NIG
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NIG
1 - 3
CPV
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MOZ
0 - 1
ZAM
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
CPV
1 - 0
MOZ
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MOZ
2 - 0
CPV
28%
28%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
MOZ
1 - 1
NIG
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ZAM
0 - 0
MOZ
64%
23%
14%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |