Niger vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
68.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
NIG
1 - 2
TUN
9%
19%
72%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
2 - 0
NIG
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
NIG
1 - 1
BOT
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
EGY
3 - 0
NIG
86%
10%
4%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
GAB
1 - 0
NIG
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
3 - 2
MAR
17%
25%
58%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
TUN
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
CMR
43%
27%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
UGA
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
TAN
75%
17%
7%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |