Niger vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
ALG
3 - 0
NIG
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
EGY
1 - 0
NIG
88%
9%
3%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
NIG
0 - 1
MAR
10%
22%
69%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
NIG
1 - 2
TUN
9%
19%
72%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
2 - 0
NIG
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GAB
1 - 1
MLI
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
1 - 0
TUN
17%
24%
59%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
3 - 2
MAR
17%
25%
58%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
2 - 0
NIG
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
0 - 0
SSD
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |