Niger vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
NIG
1 - 2
ANG
17%
23%
60%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
UGA
1 - 0
NIG
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
EQG
1 - 1
NIG
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
UGA
3 - 1
NIG
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
NIG
1 - 3
NGA
6%
20%
74%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
BEN
4 - 1
UGA
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ANG
3 - 0
BEN
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
NGA
2 - 0
BEN
88%
9%
3%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
CIV
4 - 1
BEN
89%
9%
2%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2008 |
MLI
1 - 0
BEN
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |