Niger vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
EGY
3 - 0
NIG
82%
14%
5%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NIG
3 - 1
TOG
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TOG
1 - 0
NIG
60%
22%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SEN
3 - 1
NIG
80%
15%
6%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
UGA
1 - 1
NIG
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SEN
1 - 2
LBR
81%
14%
5%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LBR
0 - 3
SEN
12%
22%
66%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
LBR
0 - 2
MAR
2%
18%
80%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
BDI
2 - 1
LBR
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
LBR
0 - 1
SLE
34%
27%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |