Niger vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
GAB
4 - 1
NIG
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
NIG
0 - 1
BFA
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BFA
4 - 0
NIG
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
NIG
0 - 3
GHA
12%
21%
67%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
NIG
0 - 0
COD
21%
23%
55%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
TUN
3 - 0
CGO
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
CGO
0 - 1
BFA
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GAB
0 - 0
CGO
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAB
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
CGO
0 - 1
BFA
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |