Niger vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
EGY
3 - 0
NIG
86%
10%
4%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
GAB
1 - 0
NIG
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NIG
2 - 1
RSA
14%
24%
62%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LBR
0 - 0
NIG
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
NIG
3 - 3
TOG
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NGA
0 - 0
BOT
80%
14%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
TOG
1 - 0
BOT
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
KEN
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SWZ
0 - 2
BOT
19%
27%
54%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 0
MWI
42%
27%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |