Niger Tornadoes vs Heartland Owerri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
29.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger Tornadoes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
MFM
1 - 2
NIG
37%
30%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
NIG
4 - 0
KWA
31%
30%
39%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
NIG
0 - 1
LOB
39%
31%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NIG
1 - 0
NAS
21%
27%
52%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SUN
2 - 1
NIG
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Heartland Owerri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
HEA
1 - 0
SUN
38%
30%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ENY
0 - 0
HEA
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
HEA
1 - 0
KAT
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
LOB
2 - 1
HEA
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
HEA
1 - 0
AKW
27%
31%
42%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |