Niger Tornadoes vs Heartland Owerri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
32.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger Tornadoes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
KAT
2 - 0
NIG
56%
26%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LOB
3 - 1
NIG
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
NIG
1 - 2
AKW
41%
30%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
WIK
1 - 0
NIG
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
NIG
2 - 1
GAB
42%
29%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Heartland Owerri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
HEA
2 - 0
KWA
56%
27%
17%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
HEA
1 - 1
YOS
49%
29%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 1
HEA
45%
30%
25%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
HEA
0 - 1
ENU
47%
28%
24%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
ENY
0 - 0
HEA
46%
29%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |