Niğde Belediyesispor vs Sebat Gençlik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2790%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
15º
13º
39
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 67 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 62 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 50 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 34 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 24 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 68.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niğde Belediyesispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ZON
1 - 0
NBS
72%
18%
11%
|
16 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
NBS
0 - 2
KIR
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KAH
0 - 0
NBS
73%
16%
12%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NBS
1 - 5
ASP
16%
18%
66%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
NBS
80%
14%
7%
|
17 | 58 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Sebat Gençlik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SGS
1 - 2
ORD
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MBB
1 - 1
SGS
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SGS
7 - 0
DEN
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 3
SGS
26%
25%
50%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ERG
0 - 3
SGS
17%
20%
63%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |