Nievenheim vs VSF Amern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nievenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
NIE
2 - 2
RAT
69%
16%
15%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 1
NIE
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
NIE
5 - 0
ERE
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
VJG
1 - 4
NIE
27%
21%
53%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
NIE
2 - 5
VEL
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
VSF Amern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
VSA
4 - 0
FCV
41%
24%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
VJG
0 - 1
VSA
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
VFR
1 - 2
VSA
54%
22%
24%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
VSA
2 - 1
SHN
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
STR
0 - 2
VSA
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |