Nievenheim vs Kapellen-Erft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
68.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nievenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
WUP
4 - 0
NIE
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
NIE
0 - 7
VEL
8%
13%
79%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VFB
3 - 1
NIE
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
NIE
1 - 2
SON
28%
23%
50%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
HNI
1 - 0
NIE
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
KAP
3 - 3
VEL
15%
20%
65%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SON
2 - 4
KAP
41%
25%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
KAP
2 - 2
BOS
40%
25%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
FCB
3 - 1
KAP
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
KAP
3 - 3
HIL
51%
22%
28%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |