Nievenheim vs TSV Essen-West 81 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nievenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
WUL
0 - 3
NIE
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
BOL
5 - 1
NIE
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -3 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NIE
4 - 2
VFL
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SFB
4 - 1
NIE
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -3 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NIE
2 - 0
FCR
12%
17%
70%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | +6 |
Matches
TSV Essen-West 81
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TEW
1 - 1
BOL
14%
18%
68%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
TEW
1 - 2
VFL
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TEW
1 - 4
SFB
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FCR
4 - 0
TEW
88%
9%
3%
|
10 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TEW
3 - 4
SSV
36%
23%
42%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |