Nievenheim vs Bayer Dormagen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nievenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SSV
1 - 0
NIE
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NIE
0 - 3
VEL
23%
20%
57%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
VSA
1 - 3
NIE
29%
22%
50%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASM
6 - 0
NIE
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
NIE
2 - 0
VFL
71%
16%
14%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bayer Dormagen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BDO
2 - 2
FCV
26%
22%
52%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VJG
2 - 1
BDO
66%
17%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
BDO
2 - 2
1FC
7%
14%
79%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
BDO
3 - 1
MON
10%
16%
75%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
KAL
1 - 3
BDO
63%
18%
19%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |