Nievenheim vs ASV Mettmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nievenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VFL
1 - 1
NIE
30%
21%
49%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NIE
1 - 2
SPV
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
VOH
4 - 2
NIE
45%
21%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
NIE
1 - 2
VSA
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
NIE
2 - 2
RAT
69%
16%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Mettmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ASM
2 - 0
FCV
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VJG
0 - 0
ASM
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 3
MON
22%
21%
58%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
KAL
4 - 1
ASM
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 0
DUS
18%
20%
62%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +2 |