Nievenheim vs VfL Benrath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nievenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SPV
1 - 0
NIE
30%
21%
49%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NIE
1 - 1
VOH
38%
22%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
RAT
2 - 3
NIE
33%
21%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NIE
1 - 0
FCV
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NIE
5 - 0
VJG
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
VfL Benrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VFL
3 - 0
FCV
43%
23%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VJG
2 - 2
VFL
67%
17%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
KAL
3 - 3
VFL
23%
20%
57%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VFL
1 - 2
DUS
18%
20%
63%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VFL
1 - 0
TSM
26%
22%
53%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |