Nielba Wagrowiec vs Jarota Jarocin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nielba Wagrowiec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MIE
5 - 1
NIE
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
NIE
0 - 2
BYT
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GOR
3 - 0
NIE
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
NIE
2 - 3
GKS
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
RAK
0 - 4
NIE
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Jarota Jarocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
JAR
2 - 0
ZAG
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 1
JAR
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
JAR
0 - 3
MCZ
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
JAR
2 - 3
MIE
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BYT
1 - 1
JAR
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |