Nico United vs Police XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
13º
11º
40
4º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NIC
4 - 1
MOW
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
POL
1 - 2
NIC
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NIC
2 - 2
GAL
33%
24%
44%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 2
ORA
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MAS
2 - 1
NIC
53%
24%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
POL
2 - 1
BOT
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
POL
1 - 2
NIC
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ORA
4 - 1
POL
55%
25%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
HGH
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
EAN
0 - 2
POL
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |