Nice vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1981 |
MET
0 - 1
NIC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1981 |
NIC
2 - 1
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1981 |
VAL
1 - 0
NIC
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1981 |
NIC
0 - 0
AUX
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1981 |
ANG
1 - 1
NIC
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1981 |
VAL
2 - 1
LYO
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1981 |
ASN
7 - 1
VAL
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1981 |
VAL
1 - 0
NIC
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1981 |
GIR
4 - 0
VAL
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1981 |
VAL
1 - 1
TOU
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |