Nice vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1966 |
MON
0 - 0
NIC
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1966 |
NIC
3 - 1
NAN
43%
24%
32%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
REN
0 - 1
NIC
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1966 |
NIC
5 - 1
SED
50%
22%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
LEN
1 - 3
NIC
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
VAL
2 - 0
TFC
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1966 |
ANG
3 - 1
VAL
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
VAL
2 - 0
NÎM
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1966 |
LIL
1 - 0
VAL
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
VAL
2 - 0
REI
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |