Nice vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1997 |
LOR
1 - 1
NIC
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
NIC
1 - 1
RED
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
MON
5 - 2
NIC
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
AUX
3 - 1
NIC
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
NIC
3 - 0
MET
28%
29%
43%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
VAL
1 - 2
SOC
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
NIO
1 - 1
VAL
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
ASB
0 - 0
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1997 |
STL
4 - 1
VAL
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1997 |
VAL
3 - 1
ASS
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |