Nice vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2005 |
LYO
0 - 0
NIC
74%
17%
10%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 0
AUX
29%
29%
42%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 1
NIC
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
NIC
0 - 0
NAN
34%
29%
38%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
PSG
3 - 1
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2005 |
TRO
2 - 1
MPL
48%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
CHA
3 - 1
TRO
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
TRO
2 - 1
SED
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2005 |
BRE
1 - 1
TRO
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
TRO
2 - 2
GRE
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |