Nice vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 0
NIC
29%
26%
46%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 1
LOR
46%
25%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 1
ANG
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 2
REN
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 2
GUI
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 0
TFC
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
4 - 0
TFC
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 1
TFC
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 1
PSG
15%
22%
63%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |