Nice vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 1
FCB
5%
13%
82%
|
79 | 96 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
NOR
5 - 1
NIC
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
BRE
3 - 2
NIC
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
PSG
2 - 1
NIC
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 1
LYO
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
TFC
2 - 0
ATH
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
TFC
2 - 0
SÈT
75%
18%
7%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 0
AJA
64%
22%
15%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 1
LUZ
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 2
NÎM
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |