Nice vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
PSG
0 - 1
NIC
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 0
LMU
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NIC
4 - 1
LYO
17%
24%
59%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LOR
4 - 1
NIC
46%
28%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
NIC
3 - 2
VAL
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
TFC
3 - 2
REN
39%
30%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
TFC
0 - 2
SHA
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
TFC
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LEN
0 - 2
TFC
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
SHA
4 - 0
TFC
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |