Nice vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
39%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
CAN
0 - 1
NIC
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 1
NIC
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
NIC
2 - 0
LMU
36%
30%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
RED
1 - 1
NIC
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
GUI
2 - 0
NIC
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
TFC
1 - 0
MET
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
JUR
1 - 1
TFC
16%
25%
59%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
NAN
2 - 0
TFC
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
VAL
0 - 0
TFC
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
TFC
2 - 5
MPL
28%
26%
45%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |