Nice vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
NIO
0 - 0
NIC
44%
27%
28%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
NIC
1 - 2
LHA
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
LEN
0 - 1
NIC
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
NIC
3 - 1
MAR
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 1988 |
AUX
2 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
TFC
0 - 1
NAN
51%
27%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
RAC
0 - 0
TFC
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
TFC
2 - 3
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
BRE
1 - 0
TFC
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1988 |
TFC
2 - 1
LIL
60%
24%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |