Nice vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
MPL
1 - 0
NIC
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
NIC
1 - 0
MAR
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
ASN
1 - 1
NIC
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
NIC
1 - 1
ANG
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1962 |
LYO
3 - 1
NIC
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
TFC
2 - 1
REN
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
GRE
1 - 0
TFC
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
TFC
3 - 2
REI
31%
23%
46%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
TFC
0 - 1
LYO
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1962 |
MON
0 - 0
TFC
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |