Nice vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
ASN
2 - 0
NIC
53%
22%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
NIC
1 - 0
REN
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1962 |
SOC
2 - 0
NIC
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
NIC
1 - 1
MON
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
NIC
3 - 2
SED
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1962 |
SED
1 - 0
TFC
54%
22%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
TFC
4 - 1
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
LEN
4 - 0
TFC
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
TFC
1 - 2
MPL
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
NÎM
2 - 0
TFC
65%
19%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |