Nice vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
13º
6º
27
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 42 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
11% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
22% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
16.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 2
LIL
32%
28%
40%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 2
TWE
39%
26%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 1
NIC
39%
27%
35%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 1
MON
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
FTC
1 - 0
NIC
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
STR
1 - 3
MON
19%
21%
60%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 0
STR
30%
25%
46%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
STR
3 - 1
NAN
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PSG
4 - 2
STR
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
LEN
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |