Nice vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
BAS
3 - 0
NIC
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1981 |
NIC
3 - 2
LYO
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
LIL
3 - 1
NIC
59%
22%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
NIC
2 - 2
ASN
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
PSG
3 - 1
NIC
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
STR
1 - 1
GIR
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1981 |
TOU
1 - 1
STR
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
STR
1 - 0
NÎM
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
NAN
1 - 1
STR
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1981 |
STR
1 - 0
LEN
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |