Nice vs Stade Rennais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
37.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
13º
6º
20
3º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 42 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
11% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
22% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
NIC
2%
12%
86%
|
89 | 29 | 60 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MPL
2 - 2
NIC
36%
25%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
NIC
44%
25%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 1
LHA
67%
21%
12%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LYO
4 - 1
NIC
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Rennais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GIR
1 - 4
REN
16%
22%
63%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
REN
2 - 0
ANG
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 0
REN
19%
23%
59%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
REN
5 - 0
ASS
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 0
REN
56%
23%
22%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |