Nice vs Stade Lavallois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 2
MPL
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
LEN
0 - 0
NIC
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
BRE
1 - 1
NIC
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 0
NAN
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
FCG
1 - 0
NIC
35%
30%
35%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Lavallois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
FCM
1 - 1
STL
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
STL
1 - 1
TFC
47%
26%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
STL
4 - 1
POI
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
CAE
1 - 2
STL
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
STL
1 - 2
DUN
55%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |