Nice vs Stade Lavallois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1978 |
LYO
4 - 0
NIC
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
NIC
1 - 3
PSG
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1978 |
ASN
3 - 1
NIC
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1978 |
NIC
3 - 4
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1978 |
BAS
5 - 2
NIC
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Lavallois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1978 |
STL
3 - 1
GIR
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
PFC
2 - 2
STL
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1978 |
STL
2 - 2
NÎM
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1978 |
LIL
5 - 3
STL
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1978 |
STL
0 - 1
MET
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |