Nice vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 1
NIC
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 2
LIL
21%
27%
52%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
NIC
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 1
AJA
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 4
FUL
32%
30%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
TRO
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ASS
4 - 0
BRE
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
ETG
38%
27%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ASN
1 - 0
BRE
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 1
REN
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |