Nice vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 1
TFC
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ETG
1 - 0
NIC
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 3
LYO
19%
24%
58%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
NIC
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NIC
2 - 0
LOR
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
LYO
16%
22%
62%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
BRE
59%
25%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 2
ETG
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 2
TFC
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
AUX
0 - 1
BRE
58%
25%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |