Nice vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NAN
2 - 0
NIC
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 0
LOR
48%
27%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PSG
2 - 1
NIC
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 2
CAE
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GIR
2 - 1
NIC
60%
24%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ASS
2 - 1
LIL
38%
29%
33%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
REN
1 - 0
ASS
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 3
MAR
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 1
ASS
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
ASS
2 - 2
BRE
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |