Nice vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SOC
1 - 1
NIC
57%
25%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 1
MON
35%
29%
36%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 0
NIC
58%
25%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 1
REN
43%
29%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 0
NIC
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
ASS
2 - 1
NAN
50%
27%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
TFC
1 - 0
ASS
42%
28%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
ASS
3 - 1
TRO
57%
23%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
LMU
2 - 1
ASS
41%
28%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
ASS
1 - 3
LYO
24%
26%
51%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |