Nice vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
36.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
FCG
2 - 0
NIC
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 0
LIL
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
RED
3 - 2
NIC
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1998 |
NIC
2 - 1
NÎM
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
TRO
2 - 0
NIC
62%
23%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
ASS
1 - 0
VAL
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1998 |
ASS
2 - 2
FCG
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
ASS
3 - 0
FCG
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
LIL
1 - 2
ASS
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1998 |
ASS
2 - 1
RED
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |