Nice vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1989 |
SPO
1 - 1
NIC
52%
27%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
NIC
2 - 4
SOC
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
RAC
5 - 1
NIC
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
NIC
3 - 0
MPL
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
MET
0 - 0
NIC
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
ASS
0 - 3
TFC
44%
28%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
NAN
2 - 0
ASS
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
ASS
4 - 1
AUX
40%
30%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
MAR
2 - 0
ASS
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
ASS
1 - 0
LYO
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |